Survivorship bias makes you sadder every day

Survivorship bias, according to Google Translate bias of survival, it is a logical mistake to look at people or things after a selective factor with greater attention than those who have not experienced it. filtration.

In a free translation of a brilliant.org exercise, we have a great example of survivorship bias.

World War II was the golden age of the dogfights, when enemies locked their air forces in air-to-air combat. Not surprisingly, many planes were lost in accidents. If a bullet hits a plane in a sensitive area, it would not return to base.
On the returning planes, the mechanics looked at the bullet damage site and reinforced the fuselage in these regions.

Frequência de tiros na região por local do tiro.
Frequency of gunfire in the region by shooting location.

Based on this graph, we observed that there were many winged planes, and it is easy to deduce that because they were a large area and high exposure part, they were vulnerable to gunfire.

However, forgetting that a plane with an engine shot, or worse, a pilot, will rarely return to base, we have a viewpoint that considers only the survivors, and we forget about the downed planes.

Like every concept of logic and statistic, there are several everyday translations, and one currently in focus is the comparison we inevitably make between ourselves and what is shown to us on social networks.

It is natural for us to want to show our best, just as it is natural for others. People who are VERY good, have a lot more exposure, making the unpopular not so remarkable, we have a lot of exposure to people who hit things we seek, filtering from those who still struggle, or “failed” causing severe self-comparisons, unfair and hurt.

FOMO p% rr @ none. Please focus on real life.

unsplash-logoRob potter


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